- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.6 m/s, gusts 8.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 6.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 32% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.2 m/s, gusts 10.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.2 m/s, gusts 10.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.6 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 27% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.3 m/s, gusts 8.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.1 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 67% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (ICON Global 8.2 m/s vs ECMWF 2.8 m/s)
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 87% probability