- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (AROME 11.9 m/s vs ECMWF 6.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 47% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
- High water temperature (26.7°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 8.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 60% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
- High water temperature (26.3°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.9 m/s)
- High water temperature (26.0°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.4 m/s)
- High water temperature (25.8°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.9 m/s, gusts 12.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.9 m/s)
- High water temperature (25.7°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.6 m/s, gusts 14.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.2 m/s)
- High water temperature (25.6°C)