- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (GFS27 11.6 m/s vs ICON Global 6.6 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 25% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.9 m/s, gusts 14.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (14.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.3 m/s, gusts 12.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 19% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.3 m/s, gusts 12.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.1 m/s, gusts 12.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.4 m/s, gusts 10.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 9.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (9.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 39% probability