- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (HRRR 8.2 m/s vs LEW 2.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.2 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (16.9°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.3 m/s, gusts 9.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.5 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (16.8°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 9.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.1 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (16.6°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 9.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.1 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (16.5°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.3 m/s) (GFS27 9.4 m/s vs LEW 3.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.2 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (16.2°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 8.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 29% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (16.3°C)