- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 9.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (GFS27 10.1 m/s vs LEW 4.7 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (10.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.5 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 12.2 m/s, gusts 15.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (12.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.1 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.3°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (ECMWF 13.1 m/s vs ICON Global 7.7 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (13.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.8 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.4°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 9.1 m/s) (ECMWF 11.2 m/s vs ICON Global 2.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.1°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Significant gusts forecast (12.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.2°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Strong wind – experience required (13.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.8 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability