- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.3 m/s) (ACCESS-C 12.7 m/s vs GFS27 5.4 m/s)
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.6 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.3°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.4°C)
- Low breeze chance — 38% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.4°C)
- Low breeze chance — 46% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 8.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.4°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- High gust forecast (21.4 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.6 m/s) (GFS27 12.1 m/s vs ICON Global 5.6 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.2 m/s)
- High gust forecast (23.3 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 15.2 m/s vs ECMWF 9.6 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.5°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (ECMWF 11.1 m/s vs GFS27 5.8 m/s)
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (9.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.3°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability