- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (AROME 9.5 m/s vs LEW 4.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.3 m/s, gusts 7.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 21% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 6.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 64% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.7 m/s, gusts 11.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 19% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.6 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 32% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 6.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 66% probability
- Light wind – experience required (6.0 m/s)