- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (GFS27 10.5 m/s vs ICON Global 5.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.8 m/s, gusts 11.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 5.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.5 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 47% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.2 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 55% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability