- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (GFS27 13.3 m/s vs ECMWF 7.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.2 m/s, gusts 11.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 73% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 6.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 6.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 41% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 7.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 32% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.4 m/s, gusts 9.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)