- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (GFS27 8.1 m/s vs ICON Global 2.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.6 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.1°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.6 m/s) (ECMWF 8.6 m/s vs ICON Global 1.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 6.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.2°C)