- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.4 m/s) (GFS27 10.3 m/s vs ICON Global 3.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 32% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.9 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.5°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.0 m/s) (HRRR 10.9 m/s vs ICON Global 3.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.2 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.6°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Low breeze chance — 31% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.7°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 7.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 70% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.7°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 6.8 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 80% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.7°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 6.2 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 93% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.6°C)