- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.2 m/s) (HRRR 10.7 m/s vs ICON Global 2.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 19% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.8°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.0 m/s) (HRRR 10.8 m/s vs ICON Global 2.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.8°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (4.3 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Wetsuit required (15.1°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.9 m/s, gusts 11.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 34% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.0 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (15.3°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.8 m/s) (GFS27 9.5 m/s vs ICON Global 2.7 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 31% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (14.4 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (15.5°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (ECMWF 10.1 m/s vs ICON Global 4.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.3 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (16.3°C)