- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (AROME 7.6 m/s vs ICON Global 2.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 21% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 6.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 33% probability
- Light wind – experience required (6.0 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (GFS27 8.4 m/s vs ICON Global 3.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.7 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (GFS27 9.0 m/s vs ECMWF 4.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 21% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 32% probability