- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (LEW 14.4 m/s vs ECMWF 8.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (18.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.2°C)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- High gust forecast (25.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 18.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 36% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (18.6 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.8°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.0 m/s, gusts 9.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (9.7 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.1°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (5.0 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.2 m/s) (ICON Global 10.8 m/s vs ECMWF 3.7 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 29% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.4°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (5.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.3 m/s, gusts 15.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (15.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.5°C)