- Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 8.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (4.8°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 7.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (4.8°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (4.8°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 9.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.8 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (4.7°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.4 m/s) (GFS27 14.7 m/s vs ICON Global 6.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (4.7°C)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.1 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.6 m/s) (GFS27 15.1 m/s vs ECMWF 6.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (19.7 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (4.8°C)