First Break: Wetterstatistik und Windgeschichte

38.6774° S, 145.609° E
06.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 8.2 m/s, gusts 10.4 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.4 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 38% probability
07.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (ECMWF 11.6 m/s vs LEW 6.3 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.0 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.0°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 31% probability
08.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 10.3 m/s, gusts 12.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.3 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.6 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
09.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (11.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.7 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.1 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 8.4 m/s, gusts 10.5 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.5 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
11.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 7.3 m/s, gusts 9.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.4°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 13.8 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.8 m/s)
  • Wetsuit required (14.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
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