- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (GFS27 7.8 m/s vs LEW 2.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.0 m/s, gusts 7.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 5.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 4.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.0 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.1 m/s, gusts 5.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability