- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (GFS27 9.9 m/s vs ICON Global 4.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 36% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.4 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (30.0°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.3 m/s) (AROME 11.2 m/s vs ECMWF 5.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (9.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 9.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.8 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (30.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.4 m/s, gusts 12.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.4 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (5.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (30.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.3 m/s, gusts 8.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)