- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (GFS27 11.0 m/s vs LEW 5.8 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.8 m/s, gusts 9.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.1 m/s, gusts 9.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.2 m/s, gusts 12.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.1 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 34% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.9 m/s, gusts 11.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.1 m/s, gusts 11.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 9.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability