- High gust forecast (20.5 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (GFS27 13.0 m/s vs ICON Global 6.8 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (13.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.9 m/s, gusts 12.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.7 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 31% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 9.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.2 m/s, gusts 8.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.3 m/s, gusts 10.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 11.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.3 m/s, gusts 7.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability