- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.7 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.8°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.4 m/s, gusts 11.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.9°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 11.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 27% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.2°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.3 m/s) (ECMWF 12.4 m/s vs GFS27 5.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.3°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 10.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.0°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (ECMWF 10.7 m/s vs ICON Global 4.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.3°C)