- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.1 m/s) (AROME 10.4 m/s vs ICON Global 4.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 7.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.7 m/s, gusts 9.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 7.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.6 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 83% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.5 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 59% probability