- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.2 m/s)
- High gust forecast (23.1 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (GFS27 15.2 m/s vs LEW 10.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.9 m/s, gusts 19.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (11.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 13.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (13.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 47% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 6.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 38% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.0 m/s, gusts 8.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 31% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (GFS27 10.7 m/s vs LEW 5.3 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (10.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- High gust forecast (22.0 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.8 m/s) (GFS27 14.8 m/s vs LEW 7.0 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (14.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability