- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (AROME 10.2 m/s vs LEW 4.4 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 35% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.2 m/s, gusts 9.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.2 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.3 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 58% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 10.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 30% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 8.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.7 m/s)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.9 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 53% probability