- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 6.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 29% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.3 m/s, gusts 7.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 50% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 8.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 11.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)
- High gust forecast (20.4 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (GFS27 11.4 m/s vs ECMWF 6.3 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 35% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.4 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 53% probability