- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (HRRR 8.9 m/s vs ICON Global 3.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.5 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (31.7°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.1 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.4°C)
- Low breeze chance — 44% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 7.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (6.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.6 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.1°C)
- Moderate breeze chance — 70% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Significant gusts forecast (7.8 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.3°C)
- Moderate breeze chance — 68% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Significant gusts forecast (8.2 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.2°C)
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.1 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.0°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 10.3 m/s) (GFS27 12.5 m/s vs ICON Global 2.2 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.4 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.0°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability