- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (HRRR 10.0 m/s vs LEW 4.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (14.0 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 10.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.8 m/s, gusts 10.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (17.8°C)