- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.8 m/s) (GFS27 11.7 m/s vs ICON Global 2.9 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 56% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 6.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 33% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 6.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 9.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.1 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 48% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Significant gusts forecast (7.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.5 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 52% probability