- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (AROME 12.1 m/s vs ICON Global 6.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.5 m/s, gusts 11.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 5.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 42% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.4 m/s, gusts 11.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 30% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.3 m/s, gusts 7.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 6.0 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 81% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)