- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.2 m/s)
- High gust forecast (25.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (LEW 13.2 m/s vs ECMWF 8.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 14.3 m/s vs ECMWF 8.8 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (GFS27 14.2 m/s vs ICON Global 8.6 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 31% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.1 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (3.4 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.5 m/s, gusts 12.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.0 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.8 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)