- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (GFS27 11.3 m/s vs ICON Global 6.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.4 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (1.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.2°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.1 m/s, gusts 18.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.4 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (1.4 m)
- Caution – short wave period (7.9 s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.9°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.0 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (2.4 m)
- Caution – short wave period (7.9 s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.9°C)
- High gust forecast (20.1 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.8 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (2.8 m)
- Caution – short wave period (7.8 s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.5°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.9 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (2.2 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.2°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.5 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (2.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.3°C)