- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (HRRR 13.0 m/s vs ICON Global 7.5 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.2 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 64% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 7.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 81% probability
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.9 m/s, gusts 10.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 8.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.8 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 57% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.4 m/s, gusts 12.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability