- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (GFS27 12.7 m/s vs ICON Global 6.5 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 12.1 m/s, gusts 14.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (12.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.3 m/s, gusts 11.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 25% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.4 m/s, gusts 9.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (6.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 33% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.8 m/s, gusts 12.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.6 m/s, gusts 11.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability