- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.1 m/s) (AROME 10.2 m/s vs ECMWF 3.2 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 54% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.0 m/s, gusts 6.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 9.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 29% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 5.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability
- Light wind – experience required (6.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 6.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability