- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.8 m/s) (GFS27 14.2 m/s vs ECMWF 7.3 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (14.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.7 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.3 m/s) (GFS27 15.7 m/s vs ECMWF 8.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.5 m/s) (GFS27 13.2 m/s vs ECMWF 5.8 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (13.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 8.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.4 m/s, gusts 7.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 38% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 7.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.5 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 59% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.5 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.5 m/s) (ICON Global 10.1 m/s vs GFS27 3.5 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 80% probability