- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.4 m/s) (HRRR 12.8 m/s vs ICON Global 5.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.8 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.5°C)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (HRRR 9.8 m/s vs ICON Global 4.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 8.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 25% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.2 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.6°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 42% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.7°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 61% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.3 m/s, gusts 8.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 47% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.2 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.4°C)