- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.6 m/s) (LEW 7.9 m/s vs ECMWF 1.3 m/s)
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 43% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.6 m/s, gusts 8.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 8.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.4 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 47% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.7 m/s, gusts 9.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.3 m/s, gusts 6.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 59% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.4 m/s)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability