- Wind too light – not suitable (3.4 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (AROME 8.6 m/s vs GFS27 3.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 64% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 8.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 45% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.8 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 63% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.5 m/s, gusts 14.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.6 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 25% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.2 m/s, gusts 13.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.6 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 29% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.2 m/s, gusts 9.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability