- Good kite forecast: wind 10.9 m/s, gusts 16.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.5°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 12.8 m/s vs ECMWF 7.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.6°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.7 m/s, gusts 14.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (14.7 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.6°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.5 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 72% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.8°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.6 m/s, gusts 18.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 27% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.6 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.8°C)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.8 m/s)
- High gust forecast (24.5 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.2 m/s) (GFS27 15.8 m/s vs ECMWF 8.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.7°C)