- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (GFS27 12.4 m/s vs ICON Global 6.7 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 57% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.6°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.1 m/s, gusts 16.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.7 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 12.1 m/s, gusts 19.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.6°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (GFS27 13.0 m/s vs ECMWF 7.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.6°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.6 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 77% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.8°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.9 m/s, gusts 12.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.8°C)