- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (AROME 13.7 m/s vs LEW 8.0 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (10.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.2 m/s, gusts 12.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (11.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.3 m/s, gusts 9.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 19% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.9 m/s, gusts 10.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Strong wind – experience required (10.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.0 m/s, gusts 12.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (11.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 9.2 m/s) (GFS27 14.3 m/s vs ICON Global 5.2 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (14.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability