- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.7 m/s) (AROME 14.0 m/s vs ECMWF 5.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (14.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.3 m/s, gusts 17.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.0 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.4 m/s, gusts 9.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 54% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.7 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 61% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 10.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 57% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.2 m/s)