- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.2 m/s)
- High gust forecast (21.7 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.7 m/s) (GFS27 15.2 m/s vs LEW 8.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (GFS27 11.4 m/s vs LEW 6.1 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.7 m/s, gusts 14.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (14.5 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.3 m/s, gusts 7.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 25% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 33% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.1 m/s) (ICON Global 7.5 m/s vs ICON EU 1.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.6 m/s, gusts 16.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (11.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability