- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.9 m/s) (AROME 14.4 m/s vs ECMWF 5.4 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 30% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.8 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.5 m/s, gusts 14.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (14.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 10.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 74% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.2 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.3 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 57% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.4 m/s, gusts 11.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 50% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)