- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (GFS27 7.8 m/s vs ICON Global 1.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Significant gusts forecast (11.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 4.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 45% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.0 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 76% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.4 m/s, gusts 6.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 91% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.9 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 79% probability