- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (AROME 12.5 m/s vs LEW 6.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 8.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 10.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 9.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Significant gusts forecast (11.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability