- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (AROME 12.3 m/s vs ICON Global 6.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.4 m/s)
- High water temperature (27.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.4 m/s, gusts 12.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.4 m/s)
- High water temperature (26.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 7.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 45% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- High water temperature (26.1°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (GFS27 10.6 m/s vs LEW 4.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.7 m/s)
- High water temperature (25.8°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.5 m/s)
- High water temperature (26.2°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.4 m/s, gusts 14.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.1 m/s)
- High water temperature (26.0°C)