- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 11.3 m/s vs ECMWF 5.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.6 m/s, gusts 11.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.0 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.6 m/s) (GFS27 12.9 m/s vs ICON Global 4.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.0 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.5 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.5 m/s) (GFS27 15.5 m/s vs ECMWF 8.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (15.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (GFS27 14.4 m/s vs ECMWF 8.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.9 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 9.2 m/s) (GFS27 14.1 m/s vs ICON Global 4.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.7 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)