- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.8 m/s) (AROME 10.6 m/s vs ICON EU 3.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 41% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.1 m/s, gusts 10.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 9.1 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 83% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.1 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 61% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.2 m/s, gusts 5.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 27% probability