- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (GFS27 12.5 m/s vs ICON Global 6.5 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.8 m/s, gusts 14.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (11.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.1 m/s, gusts 11.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.3 m/s, gusts 8.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 34% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.6 m/s, gusts 12.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.4 m/s, gusts 11.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability