- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (AROME 10.1 m/s vs GFS27 4.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 44% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.1 m/s, gusts 7.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.2 m/s, gusts 11.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 60% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.3 m/s, gusts 8.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 43% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 5.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.3 m/s, gusts 7.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 62% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.6 m/s)